Formule_de_thomas_bayes_biography

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(1702-1761), J. Semesterber.30(1)(1983), 61-105.

  • P Dupont, Un joyau dans l'histoire des sciences : le mémoire de Thomas Bayes de 1763, Rend. Philos. Historia Math.7(4)(1980), 379-388.
  • S M Stigler, The History of Statistics. Hist. Since then Bayes' techniques have been subject to controversy.

    • Biography

    Thomas Bayes' father, Joshua Bayes, was one of the first six Nonconformist ministers to be ordained in England.

    As regards probability, he will expect, of course, some or other version of what has become known as 'Bayes's theorem': and such expectation will indeed be met. the first occurrence of a probability logic result involving conditional probability. Il est issu d'une éminente famille de protestants non conformistes (c'est-à-dire des protestants qui ont rompu avec l'église anglicane pour ne pas se conformer à l'Act of Uniformity).

    Thomas was the eldest of his parents seven children, four boys and three girls.

    formule_de_thomas_bayes_biography

    he represents Logics and Metaphysics as proper to open their eyes, and extricate them from their difficulties.

    In [1] Hacking claims that Thomas was educated privately, something he says appears necessary for the son of a Nonconformist minister at that time. Torino    37(3)(1979), 105-138.

  • J Earman, Bayes' Bayesianism, Stud.

    In the Preface Bayes gives his reasons for writing the text:-

    I have long ago thought that the first principles and rules of the method of Fluxions stood in need of more full and distinct explanation and proof, than what they had received either from their first incomparable author, or any of his followers; and therefore was not at all displeased to find the method itself opposed with so much warmth by the ingenious author of the Analyst; and had it been his only design to bring this point to a fair issue, whether a demonstration by the method of Fluxions be truly scientific or not, I should have heartily applauded his conduct, and have thought he deserved the thanks even of the Mathematicians themselves.

    Dans aucun livre il n'est fait référence à un portrait de Bayes, et il y a des doutes sur son authenticité. He was ordained in 1694 and moved to Box Lane Chapel, Bovington, about 25 miles from London. In about 1733 he became minister of the Presbyterian Chapel in Tunbridge Wells, 35 miles southeast of London, on the death of the previous minister John Archer.

    Hist. Another mathematical publication on asymptotic series appeared after his death where he showed that the series for logz! Comput. He had to choose a Scottish university if he was to obtain his education without going overseas since, at this time, Nonconformists were not allowed to matriculate at Oxford or Cambridge.